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2020
Forecasting elections? Taleb says no
2020-09-03
Causality: Mediation Analysis
2020-08-26
Causality: Probabilities of Causation
2020-08-20
Causality: Regret? Look at Effect of Treatment on the Treated
2020-08-16
Causality: Counterfactuals - Clash of Worlds
2020-08-10
Causality: Testing Identifiability
2020-07-31
Causality: The front-door criterion
2020-07-30
Causality: To adjust or not to adjust
2020-07-25
Causality: Invariance under Interventions
2020-07-22
Causality: Bayesian Networks and Probability Distributions
2020-07-18
BDA Week 9: Large Sample Theory for the Posterior
2020-07-13
BDA Week 8: Bayesian Decision Analysis
2020-07-10
BDA week 7: LOO and its diagnostics
2020-07-08
Tail Risk of diseases in R
2020-07-05
BDA Week 6: MCMC in High Dimensions, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo
2020-07-02
Bayesian Data Analysis: Week 5 -> Metropolis
2020-06-29
Bayesian Data Analysis: Week 4 -> Importance Sampling
2020-06-27
Gini Index under Fat-Tails
2020-06-26
Bayesian Data Analysis: Week 3-> Exercises
2020-06-25
Probability Calibration under fat-tails: useless
2020-06-24
Bayesian Data Analysis: Week 3 -> Fitting a Gaussian probability model
2020-06-24
Bayesian Data Analysis: Week 2
2020-06-22
Extreme Value Theory for Time Series
2020-06-17
When are GARCH (and friends) models warranted?
2020-06-14
How to not get fooled by the "Empirical Distribution"
2020-06-11
Fisher Tippet Th: a "CLT" for the sample maxima
2020-06-10
Statistical Rethinking Week 10
2020-06-09
Varying effects for continuous predictors -> GP regression
2020-06-04
Statistical Rethinking: Week 9
2020-06-03
Bayesian Instrumental Variable Regression
2020-06-03
LLN for higher p Moments
2020-06-02
Understanding Pooling across Intercepts and Slopes
2020-06-01
Central Limit Theorem in Action
2020-05-30
Statistical Rethinking Week 8
2020-05-29
Simulating into understanding Multilevel Models
2020-05-28
R-squared and fat tails
2020-05-26
Statistical Rethinking: Week 7
2020-05-24
Correlation is not Correlation
2020-05-22
Statistical Rethinking: Week 6
2020-05-20
Understanding the tail exponent
2020-05-19
Statistical Rethinking Week 5 -> HMC samples
2020-05-15
Standard Deviation and Fat Tails
2020-05-13
Statistical Rethinking: Week 5 -> Interactions
2020-05-12
Statistical Rethinking: Week 4
2020-05-11
What does it mean to fatten the tails?
2020-05-09
Statistical Rethinking: Week 3
2020-05-03
Wittgenstein's Ruler: Fat or Thin?
2020-04-30
Statistical Rethinking: Week 2
2020-04-28
Spurious PCA under Thick Tails
2020-04-27
Pareto 80/20 and Maximum Likelihood
2020-04-23
Statistical Rethinking: Week 1
2020-04-19
Fat vs Thin: does LLN work?
2020-04-17